Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGefle IF to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Järfälla vs Gefle IF preview and prediction
The match
Järfälla host Gefle IF in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Jarfallavallen. Järfälla are 15th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Gefle IF sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gefle IF's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Assyriska FF 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Järfälla and 1.5 for Gefle IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Järfälla 38%, draw 22%, Gefle IF 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Järfälla 1–1 Gefle IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Järfälla38%fair 2.64 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Gefle IF40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
2.98Expected goals
1.47Järfälla xG
1.51Gefle IF xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Järfälla 1.5 – 1.5 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gefle IF to win✗
40%
2.52
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gefle IF / FT Gefle IF✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Form
Järfälla – last 1
L
13 May
vs Enköping
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
DLDLLW
17 May
vs Assyriska FF
0–0
D
14 May
@ Vasalund
0–1
L
9 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Sunnersta
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Järfälla and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Järfälla vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Järfälla have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gefle IF 40%.
How many goals will there be in Järfälla vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Järfälla vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Järfälla 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Järfälla vs Gefle IF?
Järfälla vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Jarfallavallen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.