Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.13
FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
FBK Karlstad host Arlanda in the Ettan Norra on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). FBK Karlstad are 6th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FBK Karlstad's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Umeå FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game.
Arlanda's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with AFC Eskilstuna 0–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for FBK Karlstad and 1.3 for Arlanda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FBK Karlstad44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Arlanda36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
2.81Expected goals
1.50FBK Karlstad xG
1.32Arlanda xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.5 – 1.3 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✗
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
FBK Karlstad – last 5
DWWLW
17 May
vs Umeå FC
1–1
D
14 May
@ Piteå
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 6
DDDWWW
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
9 May
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
3 May
@ Piteå
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
12 Apr
@ Umeå FC
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Arlanda.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arlanda 36%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda?
FBK Karlstad vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.