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Today's tips
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio

Sportivo Luqueno

DLLLL
2–3
FT

Libertad Asuncion

LWLWL

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds
1

Value bet: Sportivo Luqueno to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion preview and prediction

The match

Libertad Asuncion travel to Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio in the Division Profesional Apertura on Monday 11 May (00:00 WAT) to face Sportivo Luqueno.

Form guide

Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Rubio NU 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.5 for Libertad Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sportivo Luqueno31%fair 3.19 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Libertad Asuncion45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
2.66Expected goals
1.18Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.48Libertad Asuncion xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.2 – 1.5 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓45%2.212.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.65–

Form

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

DLLLLD
3 May@ Rubio NU0–0D
1 Aprvs Cerro Porteno2–3L
27 Mar@ Nacional Asuncion2–3L
23 Marvs 2 de Mayo0–2L
18 Mar@ Olimpia0–1L
13 Marvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LWLWLL
5 May@ Rosario Central0–1L
2 Mayvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo5–0W
28 Aprvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
26 Aprvs Olimpia3–2W
20 Apr@ Rubio NU0–3L
15 Aprvs Rosario Central0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Ameliano3 Deportivo Recoleta2 140%2.12X24%3.25236%3.25 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Libertad Asuncion 45%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.