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Today's tips
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Ameliano Villeta

Sportivo Ameliano

DDDWW
3–2
FT

Deportivo Recoleta

DWDWD

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓40% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction

The match

Deportivo Recoleta travel to Estadio Ameliano Villeta in the Division Profesional Apertura on Monday 11 May (21:45 WAT) to face Sportivo Ameliano.

Form guide

Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Olimpia 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Santos 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 March 2026, finished Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.2 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sportivo Ameliano40%fair 2.52 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.25
Deportivo Recoleta36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.52Expected goals
1.30Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.23Deportivo Recoleta xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓40%2.522.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano ✓22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.61–

Form

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

DDDWWW
3 May@ Olimpia1–1D
25 Apr@ Cerro Porteno1–1D
21 Aprvs Nacional Asuncion1–1D
10 Apr@ 2 de Mayo2–1W
1 Apr@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
28 Marvs Libertad Asuncion2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

DWDWDD
6 Mayvs Santos1–1D
3 Mayvs Cerro Porteno2–1W
29 Aprvs Deportivo Cuenca0–0D
19 Aprvs 2 de Mayo5–0W
15 Apr@ Santos1–1D
8 Aprvs San Lorenzo1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Deportivo Recoleta v Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

FT Sportivo Luqueno2 Libertad Asuncion3 131%3.40X23%3.00245%2.15 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Recoleta 36%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ameliano Villeta.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.