Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno travel to Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio in the Division Profesional Apertura on Wednesday 1 April (00:30 WAT) to face Sportivo Luqueno.
Form guide
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Nacional Asuncion 2–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Club Sp. San Lorenzo 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Porteno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.5 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Luqueno24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.30
Cerro Porteno56%fair 1.77 · @1.88
2.41Expected goals
0.86Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.55Cerro Porteno xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 0.9 – 1.5 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
56%
1.77
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✓
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Sportivo Luqueno – last 6
LLLDLL
27 Mar
@ Nacional Asuncion
2–3
L
23 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 6
WWLWWW
29 Mar
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Luqueno and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cerro Porteno 56%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1
Sportivo Ameliano2
Rubio NU0
Club Guarani2