Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 2.16 – our chance 50% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓50% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Club Sp. San Lorenzo take on Sportivo Ameliano on Wednesday 1 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Cerro Porteno 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Libertad Asuncion 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Sportivo Ameliano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.4 for Sportivo Ameliano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 28%, draw 22%, Sportivo Ameliano 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Sportivo Ameliano to win at 2.16 – 50% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo28%fair 3.56 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Sportivo Ameliano50%fair 2.01 · @2.16
2.30Expected goals
0.93Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.37Sportivo Ameliano xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 – 1.4 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Ameliano to win✓
50%
2.01
2.16 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6
LDDLLD
29 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
WWDDDL
28 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
2–0
W
24 Mar
@ Rubio NU
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sportivo Ameliano 50%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay
Sportivo Luqueno2
Cerro Porteno3
Rubio NU0
Club Guarani2