Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.79 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.79Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓65% · @1.79
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.91
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Libertad Asuncion take on Deportivo Recoleta on Tuesday 31 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Sportivo Ameliano 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Rubio NU 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Libertad Asuncion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.7 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Safer route: Libertad Asuncion or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.79, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion65%fair 1.55 · @1.79
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @2.88
Deportivo Recoleta14%fair 7.20 · @5.40
2.54Expected goals
1.84Libertad Asuncion xG
0.70Deportivo Recoleta xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.7 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
65%
1.55
1.79 ▲
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.91
–
Form
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
LLWWWW
28 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 6
WLLDLD
27 Mar
vs Rubio NU
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
2–3
L
19 Mar
@ Club Guarani
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Recoleta 14%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
2 de Mayo1
Nacional Asuncion1