2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗48% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.75
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
Nacional Asuncion travel to Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti in the Division Profesional Apertura on Tuesday 31 March (22:30 WAT) to face 2 de Mayo.
Form guide
2 de Mayo's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Club Guarani 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Sportivo Luqueno 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for 2 de Mayo and 1.4 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 29%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo29%fair 3.47 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.96
Nacional Asuncion48%fair 2.10 · @2.18
2.37Expected goals
0.992 de Mayo xG
1.38Nacional Asuncion xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.0 – 1.4 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✗
48%
2.10
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.75
–
Form
2 de Mayo – last 6
DWDLWW
25 Mar
@ Club Guarani
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Rubio NU
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 6
WLDDDW
27 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
3–2
W
19 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 2 de Mayo and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nacional Asuncion 48%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion?
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Libertad Asuncion1
Deportivo Recoleta0