Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cerro Porteno to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✗88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Rubio NU take on Cerro Porteno on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Form guide
Rubio NU's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to 2 de Mayo 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Porteno's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Sportivo Trinidense 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Rubio NU and 1.6 for Cerro Porteno. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rubio NU 12%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 62%.
Safer route: Cerro Porteno or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Cerro Porteno to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rubio NU 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rubio NU12%fair 8.04 · @4.30
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Cerro Porteno62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
2.16Expected goals
0.57Rubio NU xG
1.59Cerro Porteno xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 0.6 – 1.6 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✗
62%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Form
Rubio NU – last 4
LWWW
9 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 4
WWWL
15 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubio NU and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerro Porteno 62%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno?
Rubio NU vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio La Arboleda
Olimpia1
Sportivo Luqueno0