Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Olimpia take on Sportivo Luqueno on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.
Form guide
Sportivo Luqueno's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Olimpia and 0.7 for Sportivo Luqueno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia58%fair 1.71 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Sportivo Luqueno16%fair 6.11 · @4.20
2.35Expected goals
1.62Olimpia xG
0.73Sportivo Luqueno xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.6 – 0.7 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia to win✓
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Olimpia or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Form
Olimpia – last 2
WW
5 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Luqueno – last 5
DLLDW
13 Mar
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Sportivo Luqueno.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Luqueno 16%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.