Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓47% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Libertad Asuncion take on Nacional Asuncion on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat 2 de Mayo 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional Asuncion's last 4: DDDW Most recently they drew with Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.0 for Nacional Asuncion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertad Asuncion 47%, draw 23%, Nacional Asuncion 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion47%fair 2.14 · @2.14
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
Nacional Asuncion31%fair 3.26 · @3.40
2.40Expected goals
1.37Libertad Asuncion xG
1.04Nacional Asuncion xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.4 – 1.0 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
47%
2.14
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.08
–
Form
Libertad Asuncion – last 5
WWWLL
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 4
DDDW
9 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional Asuncion 31%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion?
Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Club Guarani3
Deportivo Recoleta1