Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 1.82 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Guarani to win ✓61% · @1.82
Double chanceClub Guarani or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.53
Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Club Guarani take on Deportivo Recoleta on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Erico Galeano.
Form guide
Club Guarani's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Recoleta's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Recoleta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Club Guarani and 0.8 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Guarani 61%, draw 21%, Deportivo Recoleta 18%.
Safer route: Club Guarani or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Club Guarani to win at 1.82 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Club Guarani 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Guarani61%fair 1.65 · @1.82
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Deportivo Recoleta18%fair 5.56 · @4.00
2.59Expected goals
1.76Club Guarani xG
0.82Deportivo Recoleta xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.8 – 0.8 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Guarani to win✓
61%
1.65
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Club Guarani or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Club Guarani ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.53
–
Form
Club Guarani – last 4
DLLD
16 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sportivo Luqueno
2–3
L
19 Feb
@ Juventud
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 4
DLDW
10 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Guarani and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Recoleta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–0 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Erico Galeano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Erico Galeano
Libertad Asuncion2
Nacional Asuncion1