Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.82
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia preview and prediction
The match
The Division Profesional Apertura sees Cerro Porteno take on Olimpia on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cerro Porteno and 1.3 for Olimpia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cerro Porteno 1–1 Olimpia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerro Porteno39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Olimpia37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.28Cerro Porteno xG
1.25Olimpia xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.3 – 1.3 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win
39%
2.58
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.82
–
Form
Cerro Porteno – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Olimpia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
2 de Mayo0
Deportivo Recoleta1