Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✓51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.15
2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta preview and prediction
The match
2 de Mayo host Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Apertura on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for 2 de Mayo and 1.5 for Deportivo Recoleta. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 2 de Mayo 27%, draw 22%, Deportivo Recoleta 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Deportivo Recoleta to win at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: 2 de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
2 de Mayo27%fair 3.71 · @2.95
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Deportivo Recoleta51%fair 1.97 · @2.20
2.51Expected goals
1.002 de Mayo xG
1.51Deportivo Recoleta xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.0 – 1.5 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Recoleta to win✓
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.98 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Recoleta / FT Deportivo Recoleta✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.15
–
Form
2 de Mayo – last 2
DL
18 Feb
vs Sporting Cristal
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 2 de Mayo and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Recoleta 51%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
2 de Mayo vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia