Platense travel to face Alianza in the Primera Division on Sunday 29 March (02:00 WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Platense sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Cacahuatique 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Platense's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Municipal Limeño 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Alianza and 0.7 for Platense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 70%, draw 19%, Platense 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Alianza 2–0 Platense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza70%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
Platense11%fair 9.10 · @7.20
2.75Expected goals
2.08Alianza xG
0.67Platense xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Alianza 2.1 – 0.7 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
Alianza – last 6
WLDWWW
19 Mar
vs Cacahuatique
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Platense – last 6
LLLDDL
19 Mar
@ Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs FAS
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Firpo
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Platense.
Our pick is Alianza to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Alianza vs Platense?
On our numbers Alianza have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Platense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Platense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Alianza 2–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Platense?
Alianza vs Platense (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca2
Hércules0