Value bet: FAS to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFAS to win40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–19% · fair 10.65
Águila vs FAS preview and prediction
The match
Águila host FAS in the Primera Division on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Águila are 4th with 30 points from 19 games (in the top four), while FAS sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Águila's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Hércules 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FAS's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Fuerte San Francisco 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FAS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Águila and 1.4 for FAS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águila 34%, draw 25%, FAS 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: FAS to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Águila 1–1 FAS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águila34%fair 2.93 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
FAS40%fair 2.47 · @3.10
2.72Expected goals
1.29Águila xG
1.43FAS xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Águila 1.3 – 1.4 FAS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FAS to win
40%
2.47
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FAS / FT FAS
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
9%
10.65
–
Form
Águila – last 5
WDWWL
26 Mar
@ Hércules
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
FAS – last 6
WWWWWW
23 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–1
W
19 Mar
vs Hércules
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Isidro Metapán
3–0
W
9 Mar
@ Platense
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Firpo
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and FAS.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Águila vs FAS?
On our numbers Águila have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FAS 40%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs FAS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs FAS?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 FAS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Águila vs FAS?
Águila vs FAS (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca2
Hércules0