The Primera Division sees Firpo take on Águila on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Firpo are 1st with 40 points from 20 games (top of the table), while Águila sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Firpo's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to FAS 0–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Águila's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Fuerte San Francisco 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Firpo and 1.3 for Águila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Firpo 42%, draw 24%, Águila 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Firpo 1–1 Águila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Águila34%fair 2.92 · @2.95
2.80Expected goals
1.48Firpo xG
1.31Águila xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.5 – 1.3 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
9%
11.05
–
Form
Firpo – last 5
LWWLW
1 Mar
@ FAS
0–2
L
25 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Hércules
3–2
W
19 Feb
@ Isidro Metapán
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Platense
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Águila – last 3
WWL
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Águila.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Firpo vs Águila?
On our numbers Firpo have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águila 34%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Águila?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Águila?
Firpo vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca0
Hércules1