Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Alianza take on Fuerte San Francisco on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Zacatecoluca 2–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Águila 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Alianza and 0.7 for Fuerte San Francisco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 66%, draw 21%, Fuerte San Francisco 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Alianza 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.33
Fuerte San Francisco13%fair 7.81 · @12.00
2.62Expected goals
1.92Alianza xG
0.70Fuerte San Francisco xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.9 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
66%
1.51
1.28
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Alianza – last 4
WWWL
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 4
LDDL
26 Feb
vs Águila
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Zacatecoluca
2–2
D
18 Feb
@ Platense
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Municipal Limeño
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Alianza have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fuerte San Francisco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Alianza 2–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca0
Hércules1