Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Firpo vs Hércules preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Firpo take on Hércules on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Firpo and 0.9 for Hércules. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Firpo 67%, draw 17%, Hércules 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Firpo to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Firpo 2–0 Hércules. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @5.50
Hércules15%fair 6.53 · @9.75
3.17Expected goals
2.23Firpo xG
0.94Hércules xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Firpo 2.2 – 0.9 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
67%
1.49
1.22
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Firpo – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Isidro Metapán
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Platense
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 2
LL
18 Feb
vs Cacahuatique
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Inter
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Hércules.
Our pick is Firpo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Firpo vs Hércules?
On our numbers Firpo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hércules 15%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Hércules?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Firpo 2–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Hércules?
Firpo vs Hércules (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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