Value bet: Firpo to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Isidro Metapán vs Firpo preview and prediction
The match
Firpo travel to face Isidro Metapán in the Primera Division on Thursday 19 February (02:30 WAT). Isidro Metapán are 3rd with 32 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Firpo sit 1st on 40 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Isidro Metapán and 1.5 for Firpo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Firpo to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Isidro Metapán 1–1 Firpo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Isidro Metapán33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Firpo45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
2.70Expected goals
1.22Isidro Metapán xG
1.49Firpo xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.2 – 1.5 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Isidro Metapán – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Cacahuatique
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Platense
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Isidro Metapán and Firpo.
What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Firpo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Firpo?
On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Firpo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Isidro Metapán vs Firpo?
Isidro Metapán vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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