Águila host Alianza in the Primera Division on Thursday 19 February, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT). Águila are 4th with 30 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Alianza sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Águila and 1.3 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águila 41%, draw 24%, Alianza 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Águila 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águila41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Alianza35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.65Expected goals
1.39Águila xG
1.26Alianza xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Águila 1.4 – 1.3 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win✗
41%
2.45
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Águila
No recent results on record.
Alianza – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and Alianza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Águila vs Alianza?
On our numbers Águila have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza 35%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Águila vs Alianza?
Águila vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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