Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Firpo vs Platense preview and prediction
The match
Platense travel to face Firpo in the Primera Division on Sunday 15 February (02:00 WAT). Firpo are 1st with 40 points from 20 games (top of the table), while Platense sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Firpo and 0.7 for Platense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Firpo 66%, draw 24%, Platense 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Firpo 2–0 Platense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.90
Platense10%fair 10.41 · @7.40
2.81Expected goals
2.08Firpo xG
0.74Platense xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Firpo 2.1 – 0.7 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Firpo ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Firpo
No recent results on record.
Platense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Platense.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Firpo vs Platense?
On our numbers Firpo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Platense 10%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Platense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Firpo 2–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Platense?
Firpo vs Platense (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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