Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFAS to win ✓38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.96
FAS vs Alianza preview and prediction
The match
FAS host Alianza in the Primera Division on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). FAS are 2nd with 33 points from 19 games (in the top four), while Alianza sit 7th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for FAS and 1.3 for Alianza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FAS 38%, draw 26%, Alianza 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FAS 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FAS38%fair 2.65 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Alianza36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
2.55Expected goals
1.29FAS xG
1.26Alianza xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: FAS 1.3 – 1.3 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FAS to win✓
38%
2.65
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FAS / FT FAS✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.96
–
Form
FAS
No recent results on record.
Alianza
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FAS and Alianza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FAS vs Alianza?
On our numbers FAS have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alianza 36%.
How many goals will there be in FAS vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FAS vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is FAS 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FAS vs Alianza?
FAS vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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