Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Shimizu S-pulse take on Gamba Osaka on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.4 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse37%fair 2.72 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Gamba Osaka40%fair 2.53 · @2.45
2.72Expected goals
1.33Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.39Gamba Osaka xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 – 1.4 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
40%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LWLLWL
17 May
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–2
L
2 May
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Nagoya Grampus
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LLWLWL
10 May
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
L
6 May
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
2 May
vs Vissel Kobe
5–0
W
22 Apr
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Bangkok United
3–0
W
11 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gamba Osaka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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