Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Fagiano Okayama host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 04:55 (WAT) at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Shimizu S-pulse 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Nagoya Grampus 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Cerezo Osaka 1–2 Fagiano Okayama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.4 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama36%fair 2.80 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka42%fair 2.40 · @2.33
2.76Expected goals
1.32Fagiano Okayama xG
1.44Cerezo Osaka xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.3 – 1.4 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerezo Osaka 42%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 04:55 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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