Value bet: Urawa to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.05
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Machida Zelvia take on Urawa on Friday 22 May, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at National Olympic Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Urawa sit 6th on 25 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Urawa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Mito Hollyhock 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Urawa 1–2 Machida Zelvia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Machida Zelvia and 1.3 for Urawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Urawa to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 Urawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Urawa36%fair 2.81 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.35Machida Zelvia xG
1.26Urawa xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.4 – 1.3 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Urawa 36%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Urawa?
Machida Zelvia vs Urawa (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at National Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
