Machida Zelvia host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Wednesday 1 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Machida Stadium. Machida Zelvia are 3rd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Urawa 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Machida Zelvia and 1.3 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Machida Zelvia 42%, draw 24%, FC Tokyo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
FC Tokyo34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
2.76Expected goals
1.46Machida Zelvia xG
1.30FC Tokyo xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.5 – 1.3 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
42%
2.40
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WLWWDW
22 Mar
@ Urawa
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Kashima
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 5
WWLWD
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Tokyo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vissel Kobe2
Shimizu S-pulse0