Value bet: Avispa Fukuoka to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Gamba Osaka travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 21 March (06:30 WAT) to face Avispa Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to V-varen Nagasaki 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Gamba Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.5 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Avispa Fukuoka to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Gamba Osaka45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
2.71Expected goals
1.22Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.50Gamba Osaka xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.2 – 1.5 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Avispa Fukuoka – last 5
LLLLL
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LDWDWW
14 Mar
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
11 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avispa Fukuoka and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 45%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
