Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Fagiano Okayama take on V-varen Nagasaki on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Kyoto Sanga 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.2 for V-varen Nagasaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
V-varen Nagasaki31%fair 3.19 · @3.25
2.63Expected goals
1.48Fagiano Okayama xG
1.15V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.5 – 1.2 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✗
47%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 4
WWLD
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gamba Osaka
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and V-varen Nagasaki 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
