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Friendlies · World · Johan Cruijff Arena

Netherlands vs Norway prediction & analysis

84%
Footrivo pick

Netherlands or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNetherlands to win ✓62% · @1.69
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.48

Win chances

Netherlands62%fair 1.61 · @1.69
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.95
Norway16%fair 6.26 · @4.50
2.98Expected goals
2.03Netherlands xG
0.94Norway xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Netherlands 2.0 – 0.9 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Netherlands are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 16% for Norway.

We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Netherlands, 0.9 for Norway). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).

Our pick is Netherlands or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.19.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands to win ✓62%1.611.69
Double chanceNetherlands or draw ✓84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.551.48
Half-time resultNetherlands ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands / FT Netherlands ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.48–

Form

Netherlands

No recent results on record.

Norway

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Netherlands and Norway.

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Norway?

Our pick is Netherlands or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Netherlands vs Norway?

On our numbers Netherlands have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norway 16%.

How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Norway?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Netherlands vs Norway?

Netherlands vs Norway (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.