Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenapolense to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chancePenapolense or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.19
Penapolense vs Jabaquara preview and prediction
The match
Jabaquara travel to face Penapolense in the Paulista A4 on Wednesday 18 March (23:30 WAT).
Form guide
Penapolense's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Inter de Bebedouro 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jabaquara's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to ECUS 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Penapolense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Penapolense and 0.5 for Jabaquara. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Penapolense 1–0 Jabaquara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penapolense66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
Jabaquara12%fair 8.42 · @7.80
2.13Expected goals
1.62Penapolense xG
0.51Jabaquara xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Penapolense 1.6 – 0.5 Jabaquara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penapolense to win✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
Penapolense or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penapolense / FT Penapolense✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.19
–
Form
Penapolense – last 5
DLDLW
7 Mar
vs Inter de Bebedouro
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ EC Lemense
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Vocem
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Taquaritinga
0–3
L
14 Feb
vs ECUS
2–1
W
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Jabaquara – last 3
LDL
8 Mar
@ ECUS
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Vocem
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Barretos
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penapolense and Jabaquara.
What is the prediction for Penapolense vs Jabaquara?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penapolense vs Jabaquara?
On our numbers Penapolense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jabaquara 12%.
How many goals will there be in Penapolense vs Jabaquara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penapolense vs Jabaquara?
Our predicted score is Penapolense 1–0 Jabaquara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Penapolense vs Jabaquara?
Penapolense vs Jabaquara (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras0
ECUS2
Tanabi1
São Caetano2
Taquaritinga1
Grêmio Sãocarlense0
EC Lemense0
Joseense0