Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: EC Lemense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEC Lemense to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEC Lemense or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
EC Lemense vs Joseense preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A4 sees EC Lemense take on Joseense on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for EC Lemense and 0.6 for Joseense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: EC Lemense to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: EC Lemense 1–0 Joseense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EC Lemense58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @2.95
Joseense21%fair 4.80 · @4.40
1.90Expected goals
1.31EC Lemense xG
0.59Joseense xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: EC Lemense 1.3 – 0.6 Joseense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
EC Lemense to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
EC Lemense or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT EC Lemense / FT EC Lemense✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
EC Lemense – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Penapolense
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Nacional SP
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Joseense – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Colorado Caieiras
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs AEA
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC Lemense and Joseense.
What is the prediction for EC Lemense vs Joseense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win EC Lemense vs Joseense?
On our numbers EC Lemense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Joseense 21%.
How many goals will there be in EC Lemense vs Joseense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC Lemense vs Joseense?
Our predicted score is EC Lemense 1–0 Joseense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is EC Lemense vs Joseense?
EC Lemense vs Joseense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
Colorado Caieiras0
ECUS2
Tanabi1
São Caetano2
Taquaritinga1
Grêmio Sãocarlense0
Penapolense3
Jabaquara2