Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultItapirense to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP preview and prediction
The match
Itapirense host Bandeirante SP in the Paulista A3 on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Itapirense and 1.0 for Bandeirante SP. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Itapirense 1–1 Bandeirante SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Itapirense49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Bandeirante SP28%fair 3.52 · @3.50
2.49Expected goals
1.46Itapirense xG
1.03Bandeirante SP xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Itapirense 1.5 – 1.0 Bandeirante SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Itapirense to win✗
49%
2.04
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Itapirense / FT Itapirense✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Itapirense
No recent results on record.
Bandeirante SP
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Itapirense and Bandeirante SP.
What is the prediction for Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?
On our numbers Itapirense have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bandeirante SP 28%.
How many goals will there be in Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?
Our predicted score is Itapirense 1–1 Bandeirante SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP?
Itapirense vs Bandeirante SP (Paulista A3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
XV de Jau0
Paulista2