Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Água Santa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Água Santa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁgua Santa to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceÁgua Santa or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente preview and prediction
The match
Água Santa host Grêmio Prudente in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 25 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Água Santa and 0.6 for Grêmio Prudente. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Água Santa 57%, draw 27%, Grêmio Prudente 16%.
Safer route: Água Santa or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Água Santa to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Água Santa or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Água Santa 1–0 Grêmio Prudente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Água Santa57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Grêmio Prudente16%fair 6.24 · @3.75
2.10Expected goals
1.47Água Santa xG
0.64Grêmio Prudente xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Água Santa 1.5 – 0.6 Grêmio Prudente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Água Santa to win✓
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Água Santa or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Água Santa / FT Água Santa✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Água Santa – last 2
WL
18 Feb
@ Ituano
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ São José EC
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grêmio Prudente – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Linense
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Inter De Limeira
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Água Santa and Grêmio Prudente.
What is the prediction for Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our pick is Água Santa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente?
On our numbers Água Santa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Grêmio Prudente 16%.
How many goals will there be in Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente?
Our predicted score is Água Santa 1–0 Grêmio Prudente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente?
Água Santa vs Grêmio Prudente (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Monte Azul1
Juventus3
Santo André1
Sertãozinho2
Sao Bento1
Linense0