Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Santo André to win @ 1.91 – our chance 65% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanto André to win ✗65% · @1.91
Double chanceSanto André or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Santo André vs Sertãozinho preview and prediction
The match
Santo André host Sertãozinho in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 25 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Santo André and 0.6 for Sertãozinho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santo André 65%, draw 21%, Sertãozinho 14%.
Safer route: Santo André or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Santo André to win at 1.91 – 65% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Santo André 1–0 Sertãozinho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santo André65%fair 1.55 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.10
Sertãozinho14%fair 6.94 · @3.90
2.36Expected goals
1.72Santo André xG
0.64Sertãozinho xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Santo André 1.7 – 0.6 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santo André to win✗
65%
1.55
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Santo André or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Santo André ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santo André / FT Santo André✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Santo André – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs São José EC
0–3
L
19 Feb
@ Taubaté
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sertãozinho – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Juventus
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santo André and Sertãozinho.
What is the prediction for Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
On our numbers Santo André have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sertãozinho 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Our predicted score is Santo André 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Santo André vs Sertãozinho?
Santo André vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Monte Azul1
Juventus3
Água Santa4
Grêmio Prudente3
Sao Bento1
Linense0