Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultItuano to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Ituano vs Água Santa preview and prediction
The match
Ituano host Água Santa in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 18 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Ituano and 1.0 for Água Santa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ituano 42%, draw 24%, Água Santa 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Ituano 1–0 Água Santa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ituano42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Água Santa34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
2.15Expected goals
1.15Ituano xG
1.00Água Santa xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ituano 1.2 – 1.0 Água Santa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ituano to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ituano / FT Ituano✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Ituano
No recent results on record.
Água Santa – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ São José EC
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ituano and Água Santa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ituano vs Água Santa?
On our numbers Ituano have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Água Santa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ituano vs Água Santa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ituano vs Água Santa?
Our predicted score is Ituano 1–0 Água Santa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ituano vs Água Santa?
Ituano vs Água Santa (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.