Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Oeste to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOeste to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Monte Azul vs Oeste preview and prediction
The match
Monte Azul host Oeste in the Paulista A2 on Wednesday 18 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Monte Azul and 1.2 for Oeste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monte Azul 35%, draw 25%, Oeste 40%.
Value angle: Oeste to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Monte Azul 1–1 Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monte Azul35%fair 2.86 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Oeste40%fair 2.47 · @3.10
2.35Expected goals
1.12Monte Azul xG
1.23Oeste xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Monte Azul 1.1 – 1.2 Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oeste to win✗
40%
2.47
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oeste / FT Oeste✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Monte Azul
No recent results on record.
Oeste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monte Azul and Oeste.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Monte Azul vs Oeste?
On our numbers Monte Azul have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oeste 40%.
How many goals will there be in Monte Azul vs Oeste?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monte Azul vs Oeste?
Our predicted score is Monte Azul 1–1 Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Monte Azul vs Oeste?
Monte Azul vs Oeste (Paulista A2) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.