Value bet: Shimizu S-pulse to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction
The match
Kyoto Sanga travel to IAI Stadium Nihondaira in the J1 League on Saturday 14 February (06:00 WAT) to face Shimizu S-pulse. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.3 for Kyoto Sanga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Shimizu S-pulse to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Kyoto Sanga44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
2.37Expected goals
1.09Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.28Kyoto Sanga xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.1 – 1.3 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win✗
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse
No recent results on record.
Kyoto Sanga
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Kyoto Sanga.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kyoto Sanga 44%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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