Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗68% · @1.48
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓91% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.8 for Fagiano Okayama. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima68%fair 1.48 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @4.00
Fagiano Okayama9%fair 10.76 · @7.20
3.07Expected goals
2.26Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.81Fagiano Okayama xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.3 – 0.8 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
No recent results on record.
Fagiano Okayama
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fagiano Okayama 9%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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