Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 1.92 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrense SC to win ✗61% · @1.92
Double chanceOrense SC or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Orense SC vs Macara preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Orense SC take on Macara on Friday 6 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Form guide
Macara's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Orense SC and 0.7 for Macara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orense SC 61%, draw 22%, Macara 17%.
Safer route: Orense SC or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Orense SC to win at 1.92 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orense SC or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Orense SC 1–0 Macara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orense SC61%fair 1.65 · @1.92
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.20
Macara17%fair 5.89 · @4.30
2.29Expected goals
1.60Orense SC xG
0.68Macara xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.6 – 0.7 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✗
61%
1.65
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Orense SC or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.14
–
Form
Orense SC – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 3
WDL
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Macara.
Our pick is Orense SC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orense SC vs Macara?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 17%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Macara?
Orense SC vs Macara (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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