America de Cali vs Bucaramanga prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓51% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Bucaramanga in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Form guide
America de Cali's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Jaguares 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for America de Cali and 0.8 for Bucaramanga. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 51%, draw 22%, Bucaramanga 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali51%fair 1.97 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Bucaramanga27%fair 3.70 · @3.25
2.09Expected goals
1.28America de Cali xG
0.81Bucaramanga xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.3 – 0.8 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
51%
1.97
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
America de Cali – last 3
WLW
23 Feb
vs Jaguares
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 1
W
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bucaramanga 27%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cienciano1
FBC Melgar1
Orense SC0