Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Leones de Rosario to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✓43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario preview and prediction
The match
Leones de Rosario travel to face Sportivo Barracas in the Primera C on Monday 5 October (19:00 WAT). Sportivo Barracas are 7th with 40 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Leones de Rosario sit 4th on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sportivo Barracas's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Atlas 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Leones de Rosario's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Lujan 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leones de Rosario arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Leones de Rosario 2–0 Sportivo Barracas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Sportivo Barracas and 1.1 for Leones de Rosario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Leones de Rosario to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Barracas33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.75
Leones de Rosario43%fair 2.35 · @2.55
1.97Expected goals
0.90Sportivo Barracas xG
1.07Leones de Rosario xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 0.9 – 1.1 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leones de Rosario 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario?
Sportivo Barracas vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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