Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✓43% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Barracas host Canuelas in the Primera C on Monday 21 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Sportivo Barracas are 7th with 40 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Canuelas sit 2nd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sportivo Barracas's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Defensores de Cambaceres 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Canuelas's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Victoriano Arenas 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Canuelas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Sportivo Barracas and 1.1 for Canuelas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Canuelas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Barracas33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Canuelas43%fair 2.34 · @2.60
2.03Expected goals
0.92Sportivo Barracas xG
1.11Canuelas xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sportivo Barracas 0.9 – 1.1 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✓
43%
2.34
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Sportivo Barracas – last 6
LWLDLW
13 Sep
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Deportivo Muñiz
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Deportivo Español
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Central Cordoba
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Canuelas – last 6
WWWWLL
12 Sep
vs Victoriano Arenas
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Lujan
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ General Lamadrid
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leones de Rosario
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Atletico Atlas
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Barracas and Canuelas.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
On our numbers Sportivo Barracas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Canuelas 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Barracas 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas?
Sportivo Barracas vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sacachispas0
Victoriano Arenas1