Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees El Porvenir take on Deportivo Español on Monday 21 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). El Porvenir are 8th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Español sit 3rd on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Porvenir's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Juventud Unida 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Español's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Mercedes 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for El Porvenir and 0.8 for Deportivo Español. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Porvenir 38%, draw 27%, Deportivo Español 35%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: El Porvenir 0–0 Deportivo Español. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Porvenir38%fair 2.61 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.70
Deportivo Español35%fair 2.90 · @2.88
1.66Expected goals
0.87El Porvenir xG
0.80Deportivo Español xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 0.9 – 0.8 Deportivo Español expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✗
38%
2.61
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Form
El Porvenir – last 6
WLWDWL
12 Sep
@ Juventud Unida
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Central Cordoba
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Claypole
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Yupanqui
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Español – last 6
DWWDDD
10 Sep
@ Mercedes
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Fénix
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Lujan
0–0
D
17 Aug
vs Sacachispas
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Deportivo Español.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Español 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 0–0 Deportivo Español, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español?
El Porvenir vs Deportivo Español (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sacachispas0
Victoriano Arenas1