Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLugano to win ✓38% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.35
Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Puerto Nuevo take on Lugano on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Puerto Nuevo are 9th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Lugano sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Puerto Nuevo's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Leandro N. Alem 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lugano's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Berazategui 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Puerto Nuevo and 1.0 for Lugano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Nuevo 37%, draw 25%, Lugano 38%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Puerto Nuevo 0–1 Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Nuevo37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Lugano38%fair 2.65 · @2.55
2.01Expected goals
0.99Puerto Nuevo xG
1.01Lugano xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Puerto Nuevo 1.0 – 1.0 Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lugano to win✓
38%
2.65
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.35
–
Form
Puerto Nuevo – last 6
WLDDWD
30 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Yupanqui
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Argentino Rosario
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lugano – last 6
DWLDWW
31 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Centro Español
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Nuevo and Lugano.
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
On our numbers Puerto Nuevo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lugano 38%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Our predicted score is Puerto Nuevo 0–1 Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano?
Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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