Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeandro N. Alem to win ✗38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.91
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem preview and prediction
The match
Leandro N. Alem travel to face Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C on Sunday 6 September (19:00 WAT). Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Leandro N. Alem sit 13th on 31 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo Paraguayo's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Defensores de Cambaceres 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Leandro N. Alem's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Puerto Nuevo 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Deportivo Paraguayo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Paraguayo and 1.1 for Leandro N. Alem. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 50% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Deportivo Paraguayo 1–1 Leandro N. Alem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Paraguayo36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80
Leandro N. Alem38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.09Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Paraguayo xG
1.07Leandro N. Alem xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Paraguayo 1.0 – 1.1 Leandro N. Alem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leandro N. Alem to win✗
38%
2.63
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.91
–
Form
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6
DWLLDW
29 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Sportivo Barracas
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Sacachispas
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
LLLLLD
30 Aug
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–3
L
25 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Lugano
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
27 Jul
@ Sacachispas
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Paraguayo and Leandro N. Alem.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
On our numbers Deportivo Paraguayo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leandro N. Alem 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Paraguayo 1–1 Leandro N. Alem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem?
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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