Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Yupanqui to win @ 3.35 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees El Porvenir take on Yupanqui on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). El Porvenir are 8th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Yupanqui sit 12th on 35 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
El Porvenir's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Fénix 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Yupanqui's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Canuelas 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Yupanqui 2–2 El Porvenir.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for El Porvenir and 1.0 for Yupanqui. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Porvenir 39%, draw 25%, Yupanqui 36%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Yupanqui to win at 3.35 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: El Porvenir 1–1 Yupanqui. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Porvenir39%fair 2.59 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Yupanqui36%fair 2.78 · @3.35
2.10Expected goals
1.08El Porvenir xG
1.03Yupanqui xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.1 – 1.0 Yupanqui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Yupanqui 36%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–1 Yupanqui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Yupanqui?
El Porvenir vs Yupanqui (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentino Rosario2
Mercedes0
Defensores de Cambaceres2
Leandro N. Alem0