Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Mercedes to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMercedes to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Argentino Rosario take on Mercedes on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Argentino Rosario are 14th with 27 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Mercedes sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Argentino Rosario's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Paraguayo 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mercedes's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Estrella Del Sur 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mercedes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Argentino Rosario and 1.1 for Mercedes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Value angle: Mercedes to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Argentino Rosario 0–1 Mercedes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Rosario32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Mercedes45%fair 2.25 · @2.55
2.00Expected goals
0.88Argentino Rosario xG
1.12Mercedes xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Argentino Rosario 0.9 – 1.1 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
45%
2.25
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mercedes / FT Mercedes✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Argentino Rosario – last 6
LDDLDL
31 Jul
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ Yupanqui
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Leandro N. Alem
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ Juventud Unida
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
DWWDWW
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Rosario and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Argentino Rosario have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mercedes 45%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Argentino Rosario 0–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes?
Argentino Rosario vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Porvenir0
Yupanqui3