Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceCanuelas or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.26
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem preview and prediction
The match
Leandro N. Alem travel to face Canuelas in the Primera C on Saturday 18 July (19:00 WAT). Canuelas are 2nd with 61 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Leandro N. Alem sit 13th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Canuelas's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Español 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leandro N. Alem's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Argentino Rosario 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Canuelas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Canuelas and 0.7 for Leandro N. Alem. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canuelas 60%, draw 25%, Leandro N. Alem 16%.
Safer route: Canuelas or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Canuelas to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Canuelas 1–0 Leandro N. Alem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canuelas60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.20
Leandro N. Alem16%fair 6.40 · @3.95
2.32Expected goals
1.63Canuelas xG
0.69Leandro N. Alem xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Canuelas 1.6 – 0.7 Leandro N. Alem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✓
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Canuelas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.26
–
Form
Canuelas – last 6
WDWWDW
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Central Cordoba
0–0
D
30 Jun
@ Claypole
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Central Ballester
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs El Porvenir
0–0
D
1 Jun
@ Fénix
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
WLDDLW
12 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Centro Español
0–3
L
31 May
vs JJ Urquiza
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canuelas and Leandro N. Alem.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our pick is Canuelas to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leandro N. Alem 16%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 Leandro N. Alem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Canuelas vs Leandro N. Alem (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Porvenir0