Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Victoriano Arenas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVictoriano Arenas to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceVictoriano Arenas or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.79
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Victoriano Arenas take on Deportivo Paraguayo on Sunday 5 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Saturnino Moure. Victoriano Arenas are 6th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Paraguayo sit 12th on 32 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Victoriano Arenas's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Puerto Nuevo 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Paraguayo's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Centro Español 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Victoriano Arenas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Victoriano Arenas and 0.5 for Deportivo Paraguayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Victoriano Arenas or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Victoriano Arenas to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Victoriano Arenas61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.85
Deportivo Paraguayo14%fair 7.27 · @4.60
1.92Expected goals
1.42Victoriano Arenas xG
0.50Deportivo Paraguayo xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
2–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Victoriano Arenas 1.4 – 0.5 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoriano Arenas to win✗
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Victoriano Arenas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoriano Arenas / FT Victoriano Arenas✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.79
–
Form
Victoriano Arenas – last 6
LDWDWD
28 Jun
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–2
L
13 Jun
@ Leandro N. Alem
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
1–0
W
31 May
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
25 May
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
17 May
vs Canuelas
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6
LDDDLD
27 Jun
vs Centro Español
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Mercedes
0–0
D
30 May
@ Lugano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoriano Arenas and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Victoriano Arenas to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Victoriano Arenas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Paraguayo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Victoriano Arenas 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Victoriano Arenas vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Saturnino Moure.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Atlas2
Claypole1
Canuelas0
Central Cordoba0
General Lamadrid1
El Porvenir1